The 2026 Lowy Institute poll shows a historic drop in Australian trust toward the United States, while confidence in China has increased slightly.

2026年 Lowy 研究所的民調顯示，澳洲對美國的信任度降至歷史低點，而對中國的信心則略有上升。

The data shows a significant loss of confidence in how the United States behaves globally. Trust in the U.S. to act responsibly has fallen to a record low of about 31-32%. This decline is mainly caused by the policies of President Donald Trump, whose trust rating of 21% is the lowest for any U.S. president in the poll's 21-year history. At the same time, trust in China has risen to 28%. Consequently, the gap between the two superpowers has narrowed to only three percentage points, compared to a 53-point difference in 2022. This change is partly because 61% of people now see China as a vital economic partner and prioritize this relationship over security concerns.

數據顯示，人們對於美國在全球的表現顯著失去了信心。相信美國會負責任地行動的信任度已跌至約 31-32% 的歷史新低。這次下滑主因是川普總統的政策，他在該民調 21 年歷史中所有美國總統的信任評分最低，僅為 21%。與此同時，對中國的信任度上升至 28%。因此，兩個超級大國之間的差距縮小到僅剩三個百分點，而 2022 年時的差距則高達 53 個百分點。這一轉變部分是因為目前有 61% 的人將中國視為至關重要的經濟夥伴，並將此關係置於安全考量之上。

Despite this lack of trust, the alliance with the U.S. remains strong, as 73% of the population believe it is important for national security. Furthermore, support for the AUKUS pact remains stable at 68%. However, many Australians feel insecure, with 53% reporting that they feel unsafe globally. This anxiety is driven by threats such as cyberattacks, economic instability, and China's military growth. Expert Sam Roggeveen emphasizes that China's shipbuilding and nuclear capabilities will likely grow significantly by 2035. As a result, there has been a small increase in support for Australia to acquire its own nuclear weapons, which now stands at 39%.

儘管缺乏信任，但與美國的同盟關係依然強固，因為 73% 的人口認為這對國家安全至關重要。此外，對 AUKUS 協定的支持率穩定維持在 68%。然而，許多澳洲人感到不安，53% 的人表示覺得全球環境不安全。這種焦慮是由網路攻擊、經濟不穩定以及中國軍事增長等威脅所驅使。專家 Sam Roggeveen 強調，中國的造船與核能能力到 2035 年可能會顯著增長。因此，支持澳洲擁有自有核武器的人數略有增加，目前為 39%。

Australia is currently in a difficult position, balancing a strategic need for the U.S. alliance against a growing economic dependence on China, which is also seen as a military threat.

澳洲目前處於一個兩難的境地，必須在戰略上對美國同盟的需求與對中國日益增長的經濟依賴之間取得平衡，而中國同時也被視為軍事威脅。