The United States and Iran have signed a preliminary agreement to stop fighting after a period of intense military conflict. This temporary arrangement creates a 60-day diplomatic window intended to help both sides reach a permanent peace deal.

美國與伊朗在經歷一段時間的激烈軍事衝突後，簽署了一份初步協議以停止戰鬥。這項臨時安排創造了一個60天的外交窗口，旨在幫助雙方達成永久和平協議。

The current diplomatic progress is based on a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed in Switzerland. The main goals of this agreement are to restart shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and to allow Iran to export oil by removing some sanctions. However, there is still a lot of tension regarding the Strait; while the US emphasizes that international law forbids charging transit fees, Iranian officials have suggested introducing 'service fees' after negotiations. Meanwhile, the International Maritime Organization is working to rescue about 11,000 sailors who were trapped by previous blockades.

目前的外交進展是基於在瑞士簽署的一份包含14點內容的諒解備忘錄（MoU）。這項協議的主要目標是恢復霍爾木茲海峽的航運，並透過解除部分制裁允許伊朗出口石油。然而，關於海峽的問題依然緊張；美國強調國際法禁止收取過路費，但伊朗官員則建議在協商後引入「服務費」。與此同時，國際海事組織正努力營救約11,000名被先前封鎖困住的船員。

There are also serious disagreements regarding nuclear inspections. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) asserts that the agreement requires the supervision of nuclear materials. In contrast, Iranian representatives claim that access to certain sites depends on a final deal and the complete removal of sanctions. Furthermore, regional security remains unstable. Although there is a ceasefire, Israel continues to maintain a security zone in southern Lebanon and refuses to withdraw its military. This complicates the peace process because Tehran believes that stopping the conflict in Lebanon is a necessary requirement for a final settlement.

關於核查方面也有嚴重分歧。國際原子能總署（IAEA）主張協議要求對核材料進行監督。相反，伊朗代表聲稱，進入特定地點取決於最終協議以及全面解除制裁。此外，區域安全依然不穩定。儘管有停火協議，但以色列繼續在黎巴嫩南部維持安全區，並拒絕撤軍。這使得和平進程變得複雜，因為德黑蘭認為停止黎巴嫩衝突是達成最終解決方案的必要條件。

Finally, economic shifts are changing the geopolitical balance. The use of the Chinese yuan and the CIPS payment network has reduced the effectiveness of US sanctions, meaning Washington has less influence than before. Additionally, the US government proposed that released frozen assets be used only to buy American medical and agricultural products. This condition has caused opposition from Iranian hard-liners, who argue that these terms violate the agreement regarding how funds should be available.

最後，經濟轉型正改變地緣政治平衡。中國人民幣與CIPS支付網絡的使用，降低了美國制裁的成效，意味著華盛頓的影響力不如以往。此外，美國政府建議，獲釋放的凍結資產僅能用於購買美國的醫療與農業產品。此條件引起了伊朗強硬派的反對，他們認為這些條款違反了關於資金使用方式的協議。

The regional situation remains uncertain. While there is now a working channel for communication, it is weakened by deep mistrust and unsolved arguments over nuclear monitoring and territorial rights.

區域局勢依然不確定。雖然目前已有溝通渠道，但因深層的不信任，以及對核監控與領土權利尚未解決的爭論，導致該渠道十分脆弱。