The United States and Iran have agreed to a 60-day ceasefire and created a plan for negotiations. This follows a period of military conflict that disrupted global trade and energy supplies.

美國與伊朗已同意停火60日，並制定了一項談判計劃。在此之前，一段時間的軍事衝突擾亂了全球貿易與能源供應。

The conflict began with U.S. and Israeli strikes on February 28, which led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Because about 20% of the world's oil and gas passes through this area, Brent crude prices rose sharply to a peak of $126.41 per barrel. Consequently, several industries made huge profits. Energy companies like Saudi Aramco and BP used different transport routes to increase their earnings. Meanwhile, defense companies such as Lockheed Martin saw record growth after the U.S. increased defense spending by $500 billion. Furthermore, shipping insurers and tanker operators earned significantly more due to higher risk fees and freight rates. Even Wall Street banks benefited, with the six largest U.S. firms earning nearly $48 billion in early 2026.

衝突始於2月28日美國與以色列的襲擊，導致霍爾木茲海峽被封鎖。由於全球約20%的石油與天然氣經過該區域，布蘭特原油價格急劇上升至每桶126.41美元的高峰。因此，數個產業獲利豐厚。如沙烏地阿美（Saudi Aramco）與BP等能源公司利用不同的運輸路線來增加收益。同時，在美國增加5,000億美元國防開支後，如洛克希德馬丁（Lockheed Martin）等國防公司見證了紀錄性的成長。此外，由於風險費與運費提高，航運保險公司與油輪營運商的收入顯著增加。甚至連華爾街銀行也獲益，美國最大的六家公司在2026年初獲利近480億美元。

Despite these profits, the global economy showed some strength by finding alternative sources of energy. For example, China reduced its oil imports by 40% between February and May by using its own reserves. Other countries bought more oil from the U.S., Africa, and Latin America. Experts emphasize that this was possible because advanced economies are using less energy and moving toward renewable sources. However, emerging markets suffered more because they had less money. In countries like India, Turkey, and Iraq, high energy costs led to a six-year high in social unrest.

儘管有這些利潤，全球經濟透過尋找替代能源展現出一定的韌性。例如，中國在2月至5月間利用自有儲備，將石油進口量減少了40%。其他國家則增加了從美國、非洲及拉丁美洲採購石油的量。專家強調，這之所以可行，是因為發達經濟體減少了能源消耗並正向再生能源轉型。然而，新興市場由於資金較少，受創更深。在印度、土耳其及伊拉克等國家，高昂的能源成本導致社會動盪達到六年來的高點。

Recent events show that the peace is fragile. Although a new agreement has lowered oil prices, tensions remain high. A recent attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz forced the International Maritime Organization to stop its evacuation plans. Additionally, there are disagreements over how to use unfrozen Iranian assets; the U.S. insists the money be spent on American farm products, but the Iranian parliament rejected this. Finally, the OPEC alliance is becoming unstable after the UAE left the group and Iraq threatened to leave over production limits.

近期事件顯示和平十分脆弱。雖然新協議降低了油價，但緊張局勢依然高漲。近期霍爾木茲海峽的一起船隻遇襲事件，迫使國際海事組織停止其撤離計劃。此外，關於如何使用解凍的伊朗資產仍存在分歧；美國堅持資金應花在美國農產品上，但伊朗議會拒絕了此項要求。最後，由於阿聯酋退出OPEC，且伊拉克因生產限制威脅退出，OPEC聯盟正變得不穩定。

While the temporary agreement has stopped the immediate rise in energy prices, the global economy is still at risk if fighting starts again or if oil reserves run low.

雖然暫時性協議阻止了能源價格立即上升，但若戰鬥再次爆發或石油儲備不足，全球經濟仍處於風險之中。