The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is changing its structure as tensions with Russia increase. At the same time, Russia is facing serious fuel shortages because of long-range attacks by Ukraine.

隨著與俄羅斯的緊張局勢升級，北大西洋公約組織（北約）正在調整其結構。與此同時，由於烏克蘭發動遠程打擊，俄羅斯正面臨嚴重的燃料短缺問題。

The geopolitical situation is shifting toward 'NATO 3.0.' In this new model, European countries will take more responsibility for defending the continent. This change was caused by the priorities of the US government and the need for Europe to become more independent in its security. Consequently, countries like the Netherlands are increasing their defense spending, aiming for 3.5% of their GDP by 2035, with a focus on drones and robotic systems. However, this spending is not equal; countries in Eastern Europe, such as Poland, are investing more than those in the south because they feel a greater threat from Russia. Furthermore, intelligence officials from the Netherlands and Poland have warned that Russia might carry out small military attacks or 'false flag' operations against NATO members after the war in Ukraine ends.

地緣政治局勢正向「北約 3.0」轉型。在這個新模式中，歐洲國家將承擔更多捍衛歐洲大陸的責任。這一改變是由於美國政府的優先事項以及歐洲在安全方面需要更加獨立而引起的。因此，像荷蘭這樣的國家正在增加國防開支，目標是在 2035 年前達到 GDP 的 3.5%，並重點發展無人機與機器人系統。然而，這些開支並不平均；東歐國家（例如波蘭）的投資多於南部國家，因為他們感受到來自俄羅斯的威脅更大。此外，荷蘭與波蘭的情報官員警告，烏克蘭戰爭結束後，俄羅斯可能會對北約成員國發動小型軍事攻擊或「假旗」行動。

Meanwhile, Russia's ability to operate is being weakened by a planned Ukrainian campaign against its energy infrastructure. By using long-range missiles, Ukraine has damaged oil refineries and processing plants from near Moscow to Siberia. This has led to a domestic fuel crisis, resulting in fuel rationing and protests at gas stations. The occupied Crimean Peninsula has been hit hardest, where authorities have declared a state of emergency and stopped selling fuel to civilians. This isolation is a strategic move by Kyiv to make Crimea a financial and administrative burden for the Kremlin.

與此同時，烏克蘭針對能源基礎設施的計劃打擊，削弱了俄羅斯的運作能力。烏克蘭利用遠程飛彈，損毀了從莫斯科附近到西伯利亞的煉油廠與加工廠。這導致了國內燃料危機，造成燃料配給以及加油站的抗議活動。被佔領的克里米亞半島受創最深，當地當局已宣布進入緊急狀態，並停止向平民出售燃料。基輔這樣做是一項戰略舉措，旨在使克里米亞成為克里姆林宮的財務與行政負擔。

In response, President Vladimir Putin has rarely admitted these shortages in public, although his government claims the situation is not critical. The Russian Foreign Ministry has emphasized that NATO is helping Ukraine develop weapons to attack Russian air bases. Despite the economic pressure and the high cost of military losses, the Kremlin has rejected ideas for a ceasefire on long-range strikes and has instead decided to increase attacks inside Ukrainian territory.

作為回應，總統普金很少在公開場合承認這些短缺情況，儘管其政府聲稱情況並不危急。俄羅斯外交部強調，北約正幫助烏克蘭研發武器以攻擊俄羅斯的空軍基地。儘管面臨經濟壓力與高昂的軍事損失成本，克里姆林宮依然拒絕在遠程打擊方面停火的建議，反而決定增加對烏克蘭領土內部的攻擊。

NATO is currently reorganizing how its members share military costs, while Russia faces internal instability due to the destruction of its energy sector and the isolation of Crimea.

北約目前正在重新調整成員國分擔軍事成本的方式，而俄羅斯則因能源部門被破壞以及克里米亞被孤立，面臨內部不穩定。