The creation of a temporary peace agreement between the United States and Iran has allowed the Strait of Hormuz to reopen, which has led to a decrease in crude oil and gasoline prices.

美國與伊朗達成的一項臨時和平協議使得霍爾木茲海峽重新開放，進而導致原油與汽油價格下跌。

The previous conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran caused energy costs to rise significantly. For example, US gasoline prices increased from about $2.98 to $4.56 per gallon by May, while crude oil rose from $70 to $126 per barrel. This happened largely because the Strait of Hormuz, which handles 20% of the world's oil and gas supplies, was blocked. However, after the June agreement, shipping traffic increased from only one or two ships per day to eight by July 1. Consequently, Brent crude prices dropped to around $72 per barrel.

先前美國、以色列與伊朗之間的衝突導致能源成本顯著上升。例如，美國汽油價格在五月從每加侖約 2.98 美元增加到 4.56 美元，而原油則從每桶 70 美元升至 126 美元。這很大程度上是因為處理全球 20% 石油與天然氣供應的霍爾木茲海峽被封鎖。然而，在六月達成協議後，航運流量從每日僅一兩艘船增加到七月一日的八艘。因此，布倫特原油價格下降至每桶 72 美元左右。

Despite this drop, experts emphasize that gasoline prices at the pump will not return to normal immediately. This is due to several reasons. First, gasoline stocks reached their lowest levels since 2014 in June, meaning more supply is needed. Second, the US does not have a strategic gasoline reserve to help lower prices. Third, imports from Europe reached a six-year low. Furthermore, Professor Ana María Herrera explains that retail prices usually fall much slower than they rise, as companies try to protect their profits.

儘管價格下降，專家強調加油站的汽油價格不會立即恢復正常。這有幾個原因：首先，六月的汽油庫存達到 2014 年以來最低水平，意味著需要更多供應；其次，美國沒有策略性汽油儲備來協助降低價格；第三，從歐洲進口的量達到六年新低。此外，Ana María Herrera 教授解釋，零售價格通常下降速度遠慢於上升速度，因為公司試圖保護其利潤。

Finally, the current stability is still uncertain. While Citigroup analysts suggest Brent could drop to $60 per barrel by the end of the year, this depends on the 60-day ceasefire remaining active. Recent attacks on tankers show that the security situation is still fragile. If diplomacy fails, prices could rise above $100 again. Additionally, the market has been affected by China, which is importing 5 million fewer barrels of oil per day than it did last year.

最後，目前的穩定狀態仍不確定。雖然花旗集團（Citigroup）分析師認為布倫特原油價格在年底前可能會跌至每桶 60 美元，但這取決於 60 天停火協議是否維持有效。近期對油輪的攻擊顯示，安全局勢依然脆弱。如果外交手段失敗，價格可能會再次突破 100 美元。此外，市場也受到中國影響，中國每日進口的石油比去年減少了 500 萬桶。

Although crude oil prices have stabilized now that shipping has resumed, retail gasoline prices are expected to fall slowly. A full return to pre-war prices may not happen until late 2026.

雖然現在航運恢復且原油價格已趨於穩定，但預計零售汽油價格將緩慢下降。全面恢復到戰前價格可能要等到 2026 年底。