A trilateral agreement signed on June 26 between the United States, Israel, and Lebanon aims to organize a step-by-step Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon. This process depends on the disarmament of Hezbollah and the deployment of the Lebanese army.

美國、以色列與黎巴嫩於 6 月 26 日簽署的一份三方協議，旨在安排以色列逐步撤出黎巴嫩南部。此過程取決於真主黨（Hezbollah）的解除武裝以及黎巴嫩軍隊的部署。

The current diplomatic plan is a conditional framework rather than a final peace treaty. According to the terms, Israel has agreed to a gradual withdrawal, starting with a pilot phase in two villages. However, this move depends on the creation of 'Hezbollah-free zones' and confirmation by the US Central Command (CENTCOM) that the Lebanese army can manage security. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu emphasized that Israeli forces will not leave southern Lebanon as long as Hezbollah keeps its weapons. Consequently, this has created a deadlock where Israel uses its military presence as pressure for disarmament, while Hezbollah uses that same presence to justify keeping its arms.

目前的外交計劃是一個有條件的框架，而非最終的和平條約。根據條款，以色列同意逐步撤軍，首先在兩個村莊進行試行階段。然而，此舉取決於「真主黨禁區」的建立，以及美國中央司令部（CENTCOM）確認黎巴嫩軍隊能管理治安。總理納坦雅胡強調，只要真主黨繼續持有武器，以色列軍隊就不會離開黎巴嫩南部。因此，這造成了僵局：以色列將軍事存在作為解除武裝的壓力，而真主黨則利用同樣的軍事存在來證明保留武器的正當性。

Despite the ceasefire, instability continues. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported killing militants and finding underground tunnels in areas like Majdal Zoun, claiming these are clear violations of the deal. On the other hand, Lebanese sources report that Israeli airstrikes and shelling continue in the Al-Hariq and Qantara regions. Furthermore, because Hezbollah is not a formal part of the agreement, officials like Nabih Berri have questioned if the document can actually work.

儘管達成停火，但不穩定情況依然持續。以色列國防軍（IDF）報告稱在 Majdal Zoun 等地區擊斃武裝分子並發現地下隧道，聲稱這些是明顯違反協議的行為。另一方面，黎巴嫩方面報告稱以色列在 Al-Hariq 和 Qantara 地區仍持續進行空襲與砲擊。此外，由於真主黨並非協議的正式參與方，如 Nabih Berri 等官員質疑該文件是否能真正運作。

At the same time, Israel has increased its security operations in Syria, including strikes in the Daraa Governorate and flights over Quneitra. This suggests a wider strategy to create a security buffer zone and put pressure on Iranian interests. These actions are happening while the US and Iran negotiate a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), indicating that the Lebanese crisis is part of a larger political game to reduce Iranian influence in the region.

與此同時，以色列增加了在敘利亞的安全行動，包括在德拉省（Daraa Governorate）發動襲擊以及在庫奈特拉（Quneitra）上空飛行。這顯示出一個更廣泛的策略，即建立安全緩衝區並對伊朗利益施壓。這些行動發生在美國與伊朗就一份包含 14 點的諒解備忘錄（MoU）進行談判之際，表明黎巴嫩危機是更大政治博弈的一部分，旨在減少伊朗在該地區的影響力。

The regional situation remains unstable. The framework agreement acts more like a temporary pause than a final solution, as Israel continues its military operations and expands its security zone across Lebanon and Syria.

區域局勢依然不穩定。框架協議更像是一個暫時的停頓而非最終解決方案，因為以色列持續進行軍事行動，並在黎巴嫩與敘利亞擴大其安全區。