The United States and Iran are facing a new wave of military conflict after attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, which have put a fragile ceasefire agreement at risk.

在霍爾穆茲海峽發生針對商船的攻擊後，美國與伊朗面臨新一波軍事衝突，導致脆弱的停火協議面臨風險。

The current instability is caused by several military attacks in the Strait of Hormuz. Between Monday and Tuesday, three commercial ships—including a Qatari gas carrier and a Saudi tanker—were damaged by missiles and drones. These attacks happened near the coast of Oman. The United States claims that Iranian forces carried out these strikes because the ships were using unauthorized routes. In response, U.S. Central Command launched attacks against Iranian air defenses and drone sites to punish the disruption of international shipping.

目前的動盪是由於霍爾穆茲海峽發生的幾次軍事攻擊所引起。在週一至週二之間，三艘商船——包括一艘卡達天然氣運輸船和一艘沙烏地阿拉伯油輪——遭到飛彈和無人機攻擊。這些攻擊發生在阿曼海岸附近。美國聲稱伊朗軍方發動了這些襲擊，因為船隻使用了未經授權的航線。作為回應，美國中央司令部對伊朗的防空系統和無人機據點發起攻擊，以懲戒其擾亂國際航運的行為。

This military escalation has also led to a serious diplomatic break regarding the 'Islamabad Understanding,' an agreement signed in June. This deal created a 60-day window for negotiations and a temporary ceasefire, which included allowing Iran to sell some oil despite sanctions. However, after the ship attacks, the U.S. Treasury cancelled this permission. The U.S. government emphasized that these economic benefits depended on Iran following the rules. On the other hand, the Iranian Foreign Ministry asserted that the U.S. violated the agreement by removing sanctions relief and launching military strikes.

這次軍事升級還導致關於六月簽署的《伊斯蘭巴德諒解》出現嚴重外交破裂。該協議創造了 60 天的談判窗口和臨時停火，其中包括允許伊朗在制裁下銷售部分石油。然而，在船隻遇襲後，美國財政部取消了此項許可。美國政府強調，這些經濟利益取決於伊朗是否遵守規則。另一方面，伊朗外交部則堅稱美國取消制裁寬限並發動軍事打擊，違反了協議。

Furthermore, there is a deep disagreement over how the Strait of Hormuz should be managed. Iran wants to create a permanent system where ships must register with Tehran and pay transit fees. However, the U.S. and several Gulf states reject this, insisting that the strait must remain open for all international ships. Meanwhile, Iran has been holding a week-long funeral for the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. While diplomatic talks were paused for these ceremonies, Iranian officials stated that negotiations will not start again as long as the U.S. administration continues to make threats.

此外，關於霍爾穆茲海峽的管理方式，雙方存在深層分歧。伊朗希望建立一個永久制度，要求船隻必須向德黑蘭登記並支付過境費。然而，美國和幾個海灣國家拒絕此方案，堅持海峽必須對所有國際船隻開放。與此同時，伊朗正為已故最高領袖阿里·哈梅內伊舉行為期一週的喪禮。雖然外交談判因喪禮儀式而暫停，但伊朗官員表示，只要美國政府繼續發出威脅，談判將不會重新開始。

The security situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains dangerous, and it is now uncertain if the temporary peace agreement can survive.

霍爾穆茲海峽的安全局勢依然危險，目前尚不確定臨時和平協議是否能倖存。