Analysis of Global Data Center Growth and Energy Demand

全球數據中心增長與能源需求分析


Introduction

The global expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure is currently being slowed by energy shortages, legal problems, and supply chain limitations.

全球人工智慧(AI)基礎設施的擴張,目前正受到能源短缺、法律問題及供應鏈限制的影響而放緩。

Main Body

The growth of high-capacity data centers is facing a major problem: AI models are evolving quickly, but the physical buildings and power systems are being built too slowly. According to the Uptime Institute, about 50% of 250 large global projects announced between 2021 and 2024 are likely to be delayed or cancelled. For example, a project in Virginia was stopped by a court because it was too close to a historic battlefield, while other projects in Arizona and Malaysia were also cancelled. Consequently, companies like Google are facing 'compute-constrained' environments, which limits how well their AI services can operate.

高容量數據中心的增長面臨一個重大問題:AI 模型的演進速度很快,但實體建築與電力系統的建設速度太慢。根據 Uptime Institute 的數據,2021 年至 2024 年間公布的 250 個全球大型項目中,約有 50% 可能會被延期或取消。例如,維吉尼亞州的一個項目因過於靠近歷史戰場而被法院叫停,而亞利桑那州與馬來西亞的其他項目也遭到取消。因此,像 Google 這樣的公司面臨著「計算受限」的環境,限制了其 AI 服務的運行表現。

Furthermore, these problems are made worse by a serious lack of energy. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts that U.S. power demand will rise from 4,195 billion kWh in 2025 to 4,399 billion kWh by 2027, mainly because of AI and cryptocurrency. This increase is especially strong in the commercial sector, which is expected to use more power than residential areas by 2026. The Uptime Institute emphasized that current power grids, particularly in North America, cannot support this growth. For instance, some facilities in California remain empty, and there are legal fights over power connections in Amsterdam. Similarly, the UK government has been criticized for not carefully checking if they have enough electricity to meet their AI goals.

此外,嚴重的能源短缺讓這些問題更加惡化。美國能源資訊署(EIA)預測,受 AI 與加密貨幣影響,美國電力需求將從 2025 年的 4,195 十億千瓦時增加到 2027 年的 4,399 十億千瓦時。這種增長在商業部門尤為強勁,預計到 2026 年,商業部門的用電量將超過住宅區。Uptime Institute 強調,目前的電網(特別是在北美地區)無法支持這樣的增長。例如,加州的部分設施仍處於空置狀態,而阿姆斯特丹則在電力連接問題上陷入法律爭議。同樣地,英國政府也因未能仔細核查電力供應是否足以達成 AI 目標而受到批評。

Despite these difficulties, experts have different views on the future. JLL predicts that 1,200 data centers will be completed by 2030, suggesting that using onsite power generators and better batteries could reduce the reliance on the main power grid. On the other hand, the scale of current plans is enormous. Six projects announced last year aim for at least 5GW each, and the seven largest planned facilities propose a total of 45GW of onsite power, mostly using natural gas.

儘管面臨這些困難,專家對未來的看法不一。JLL 預測到 2030 年將有 1,200 個數據中心完工,認為利用現場發電機與更高效的電池可減少對主電網的依賴。另一方面,目前計劃的規模極其龐大。去年公布的六個項目 each 目標均至少為 5GW,而七個最大計劃設施共提出 45GW 的現場電力,主要使用天然氣。

Conclusion

Although the demand for AI infrastructure remains high, the success of these projects depends on overcoming significant energy, legal, and logistical barriers.

雖然 AI 基礎設施的需求依然很高,但這些項目的成功與否,取決於能否克服重大的能源、法律及物流障礙。

Vocabulary Learning

🚀 The 'Logic Bridge': Mastering Transition Words

At an A2 level, you likely use and, but, and because. To reach B2, you need to show a professional relationship between your ideas. The text uses specific "bridges" to move from a problem to a result or a contrasting opinion.

🛠 The Connector Upgrade

A2 Word (Simple)B2 Upgrade (from text)How it changes the feel
SoConsequentlyMoves from a casual chat to a formal report.
AlsoFurthermoreSignals that you are adding a stronger point, not just another one.
ButDespite these difficultiesShows you can acknowledge a problem before introducing a solution.
ButOn the other handPerfectly balances two different professional perspectives.

🔍 Linguistic Analysis: The "Contrast Shift"

Look at this sequence from the text:

"Despite these difficulties... JLL predicts that 1,200 data centers will be completed... On the other hand, the scale of current plans is enormous."

Why this is B2 level: The writer doesn't just say "things are bad but some are good." They use a three-step logical chain:

  1. Acknowledgement (Despite...) \rightarrow 2. Positive Prediction (JLL predicts...) \rightarrow 3. Reality Check (On the other hand...).

💡 Pro-Tip for your Writing

Instead of starting every sentence with the subject (e.g., "The company is...", "The power is..."), start with a transition phrase followed by a comma.

  • Incorrect/A2: The power grid is old. But the demand is growing.
  • B2 Level: The power grid is old. Consequently, the demand is growing faster than the system can handle.

By using Consequently or Furthermore, you aren't just giving information—you are guiding the reader's brain through your logic.

Vocabulary Learning

infrastructure (n.)
The basic physical and organizational structures and facilities needed for the operation of a society or enterprise.
Example:The government is investing heavily in digital infrastructure to improve internet access in rural areas.
evolving (v.)
Developing gradually over time, especially from a simple to a more complex form.
Example:The way we communicate is constantly evolving due to new social media platforms.
consequently (adv.)
As a result of something that has happened.
Example:The company failed to innovate; consequently, it lost its market share to smaller competitors.
constrained (adj.)
Limited or restricted in a particular way.
Example:The project was constrained by a very tight budget and a short deadline.
emphasized (v.)
To give special importance or prominence to something in speaking or writing.
Example:The teacher emphasized the importance of reviewing the vocabulary before the final exam.
reliance (n.)
Dependence on or trust in someone or something.
Example:The city is trying to reduce its reliance on fossil fuels by installing solar panels.
enormous (adj.)
Very large in size, quantity, or extent.
Example:The cost of repairing the bridge after the flood was enormous.
logistical (adj.)
Relating to the detailed coordination of a complex operation involving many people, facilities, or supplies.
Example:Moving the entire office to a new city presented several logistical challenges.
Practice B2 words in a crossword