Former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel has argued that the United States should stop providing unconditional aid to Israel, suggesting that the alliance between the two countries needs a fundamental change.

前芝加哥市長拉姆·伊曼紐爾主張美國應停止向以色列提供無條件援助，並建議兩國之間的同盟關係需要根本性的改變。

During a speech at Tel Aviv University, Mr. Emanuel claimed that the history of unconditional U.S. support has created an environment where the Israeli government, particularly under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, feels it can ignore American concerns about settlement expansion and regional stability without facing consequences. He emphasized that this lack of accountability is a failure of previous U.S. policies. Consequently, Mr. Emanuel asserts that the alliance must move toward a conditional framework. He specifically proposes imposing sanctions on individuals and banks involved in West Bank settlements and ending defense subsidies, meaning Israel would have to buy weapons under the same financial terms as other partners.

在特拉維夫大學的一次演講中，伊曼紐爾先生聲稱，美國長期無條件支持的歷史創造了一種環境，使得以色列政府（尤其是在總理納坦雅胡領導下）認為自己可以無視美國對定居點擴張和區域穩定的擔憂而無需承擔後果。他強調，這種缺乏問責制的情況是先前美國政策的失敗。因此，伊曼紐爾先生斷言，該同盟必須向有條件的框架轉型。他具體建議對參與約旦河西岸定居點的個人和銀行實施制裁，並取消國防補貼，這意味著以色列購買武器必須與其他合作夥伴適用相同的財務條款。

This change in tone comes as support for Israel declines among Democrats. According to an AP-NORC poll, 58% of Democrats believe U.S. support for Israel is too high, and many describe military actions in Gaza as genocidal. Furthermore, progressive candidates have seen more success in several states, and there are new legislative efforts to limit the sale of certain military equipment. While some Republicans, such as Vice President JD Vance, have also expressed frustration with Israeli diplomacy, the shift within the Democratic Party appears more widespread.

這種語調的轉變正值民主黨對以色列的支持度下降之際。根據 AP-NORC 的民調，58% 的民主黨人認為美國對以色列的支持過高，許多人將加薩的軍事行動描述為種族滅絕。此外，進步派候選人在多個州取得了更多成功，且有新的立法努力旨在限制銷售某些軍事設備。雖然部分共和黨人（如副總統 JD Vance）也對以色列的外交表達了挫折感，但民主黨內部的轉變似乎更為普遍。

Regarding a long-term peace plan, Mr. Emanuel has suggested moving away from the traditional two-state model. Instead, he advocates for a '23-state solution,' where 21 Arab nations would help establish a Palestinian governing authority that recognizes the historical Jewish connection to the land. He frames this as a strategic way to isolate Iran and improve regional security. However, critics like James Zogby argue that this approach is still too biased toward Israel and ignores the complex history of the conflict, suggesting it may be a political move to satisfy both Democratic voters and wealthy donors.

關於長期和平計劃，伊曼紐爾先生建議擺脫傳統的兩國方案。相反，他倡導一種「23國方案」，由 21 個阿拉伯國家協助建立一個承認猶太人與該地歷史聯繫的巴勒斯坦管治權力機構。他將此視為孤立伊朗並改善區域安全的戰略方式。然而，如詹姆斯·佐格比等批評者認為，這種做法對以色列依然過於偏袒，且無視衝突的複雜歷史，認為這可能是一個為了滿足民主黨選民與富裕捐助者的政治舉措。

The current situation shows a growing gap between traditional U.S. foreign policy and the changing views of both major American political parties, signaling a possible move toward conditional diplomacy.

目前的情況顯示，傳統美國外交政策與兩大政黨不斷改變的觀點之間差距日益擴大，預示著可能會向有條件外交轉型。