The state of Johor is holding an election for 56 legislative seats on July 11. The main competition is between two major coalitions: Barisan Nasional (BN) and Pakatan Harapan (PH).

柔佛州將於 7 月 11 日就 56 個議席進行選舉。主要競爭對手為兩個大聯盟：國民陣線 (BN) 與希望聯盟 (PH)。

The political situation is complex because BN and PH are partners in the federal government, but they are rivals at the state level. History shows that voter turnout is very important for the results. For example, in the 2022 state election, only 50% of people voted, which helped BN win 40 seats. In contrast, a higher turnout in the 2022 general election helped PH win 14 federal seats. Consequently, both sides are now focusing on 'undecided voters,' who make up about 40% of the electorate. They are especially targeting 1.13 million voters aged 21 to 39, as these young people often care more about economic issues like inflation and unemployment than party loyalty.

政治局勢十分複雜，因為 BN 與 PH 在聯邦政府中是合作夥伴，但在州級別則是對手。歷史證明投票率對結果至關重要。例如，在 2022 年的州選舉中，僅有 50% 的人投票，幫助 BN 贏得 40 個議席。相反，2022 年大選較高的投票率幫助 PH 贏得 14 個聯邦議席。因此，兩邊現在都將重點放在約佔選民 40% 的「未決定選民」身上。他們特別針對 113 萬名 21 至 39 歲的選民，因為這些年輕人通常比起對政黨的忠誠度，更關注通貨膨脹與失業等經濟問題。

To encourage their supporters, both sides have sent top leaders to campaign. Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim has visited several times to support PH, while Deputy Prime Minister Ahmad Zahid Hamidi has worked to promote BN's record of governance. Meanwhile, Perikatan Nasional (PN) is also competing, although they are facing internal disagreements. For instance, the PAS party suggested that voters support BN in some seats to keep Malay-Muslim political power, but BN's Onn Hafiz Ghazi rejected this idea. Furthermore, smaller parties like MUDA and Bersama might change how urban voters cast their ballots.

為了鼓勵支持者，雙方均派遣頂級領導人參與競選。總理安華多次訪問以支持 PH，而副總理阿末扎希則致力於推廣 BN 的治理紀錄。與此同時，國民聯盟 (PN) 也在競爭，儘管他們面臨內部分歧。例如，伊斯蘭黨 (PAS) 建議選民在部分議席支持 BN，以維持馬來-穆斯林的政治權力，但 BN 的翁哈菲茲拒絕了這一想法。此外，如 MUDA 和 Bersama 等小黨可能會改變城市選民的投票方式。

There are also disagreements regarding the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ). Chief Minister Onn Hafiz Ghazi claimed that the federal government caused delays in the project's masterplan. However, the Prime Minister disagreed and described these claims as simple campaign tactics. Additionally, Nazifuddin Razak suggested that a strong BN victory could lead to a royal pardon for former Prime Minister Najib Razak, although senior leaders have dismissed this idea.

關於柔佛-新加坡經濟特區 (JS-SEZ) 亦存在分歧。州首長翁哈菲茲聲稱聯邦政府導致該項目的總體規劃延期。然而，總理並不認同，並將這些指控描述為簡單的競選手段。此外，納齊夫丁建議，如果 BN 能獲得強勢勝利，可能會為前總理納吉爭取到王室赦免，但高層領導已否認此想法。

Current predictions suggest that the situation will remain the same, with BN expected to keep control of the government and PH remaining as the main opposition group.

目前的預測顯示局勢將維持不變，預計 BN 將繼續控制政府，而 PH 則維持作為主要反對黨。