Switzerland is preparing for a referendum on a proposal by the Swiss People’s Party (SVP) to set a permanent population limit of 10 million people.

瑞士正準備就瑞士人民黨 (SVP) 提出將人口上限永久設定為 1,000 萬人的提案進行全民公投。

The initiative, called “No to a Switzerland with 10 million!”, is based on the claim that uncontrolled immigration has caused pressure on infrastructure, especially regarding crowded cities and rising rents. The SVP emphasizes that a population cap is necessary to reduce this stress. However, data shows that Switzerland's population density is still lower than in several major European capitals. Furthermore, household savings rates rose from about 10% in 2006 to 18% in 2023, which contradicts the idea that the economy is declining for everyone.

這項被稱為「拒絕擁有 1,000 萬人口的瑞士！」的倡議，是基於一個主張，認為失控的移民造成了基礎設施壓力，特別是城市擁擠和租金上漲。SVP 強調，設定人口上限對於減輕這種壓力至關重要。然而，數據顯示瑞士的人口密度仍然低於幾個歐洲主要首都。此外，家庭儲蓄率從 2006 年的約 10% 上升至 2023 年的 18%，這與經濟對每個人都在衰退的觀點相矛盾。

From an economic perspective, this proposal would require Switzerland to end the 1999 agreement on the free movement of people with the European Union. Consequently, this break would likely cancel other agreements that allow Switzerland to access the EU single market. Since 51% of Swiss exports go to Europe, totaling over 147 billion Swiss francs, business leaders are worried about losing market access. Specifically, sectors like medical technology and hospitality report that they depend on foreign experts and workers who cannot be replaced by local training programs.

從經濟角度來看，這項提案將要求瑞士終止 1999 年與歐盟簽署的人員自由移動協議。因此，這種決裂很可能會取消其他允許瑞士進入歐盟單一市場的協議。由於 51% 的瑞士出口流向歐洲，總額超過 1,470 億瑞士法郎，企業領袖擔心會失去市場准入權。具體而言，醫療科技和飯店業等部門報告稱，他們依賴外國專家和勞工，而這些人才無法透過本地培訓計畫來取代。

Additionally, labor unions and business leaders describe the measure as a cause of economic instability. The union Unia asserts that the initiative could lead to lower wages and weaker labor protections. While the SVP suggests annual immigration quotas of 40,000 people, critics argue these numbers would be too low and would favor healthcare over industrial needs. Some analysts also suggest that this shift could lead to stricter residency rules for foreigners, including banning family reunification.

此外，工會和企業領袖將此措施描述為經濟不穩定因素。Unia 工會斷言，該倡議可能導致工資下降和勞工保障削弱。雖然 SVP 建議年度移民配額為 4 萬人，但批評者認為這些數字過低，且會偏向醫療需求而忽視工業需求。部分分析師也指出，這種轉向可能會導致對外國人的居留規定更加嚴格，包括禁止家庭團聚。

The referendum presents a choice between keeping an open, integrated economic model or moving toward a restrictive state with a population limit.

這次公投是在保持開放、整合的經濟模式，或走向一個設有人口上限的限制性國家之間做出選擇。