The United States government has increased its sanctions against Cuba, focusing specifically on the state-owned energy sector to force political and economic changes in the country.

美國政府增加了對古巴的制裁，特別針對國有能源部門，以強迫該國進行政治與經濟改革。

The current tension is centered on new sanctions against the state oil company, Union Cuba-Petroleo (CUPET). Secretary of State Marco Rubio emphasized that these measures are a response to the illegal seizure of American assets and claims that Cuban leaders use energy resources for personal gain. This action is part of a larger strategy that includes an oil blockade by restricting Venezuelan exports and threatening tariffs on other suppliers. Consequently, Cuba's energy crisis has worsened; the International Energy Agency reports that domestic production only meets 40 percent of the country's needs, leading to frequent power failures.

目前的緊張局勢集中在針對國有石油公司 Union Cuba-Petroleo (CUPET) 的新制裁。國務卿馬可·魯比歐強調，這些措施是對非法沒收美國資產的回應，並聲稱古巴領導人利用能源資源謀取私利。此行動是更大策略的一部分，包括透過限制委內瑞拉出口來實施石油封鎖，並威脅對其他供應商徵收關稅。因此，古巴的能源危機進一步惡化；國際能源總署報告指出，國內產量僅能滿足該國需求的 40%，導致頻繁停電。

Alongside these economic pressures, the United States has suggested it might move toward military action. The deployment of the USS Nimitz and visits to Guantánamo Bay by high-ranking officials suggest a military strategy similar to previous operations in Venezuela. Furthermore, the U.S. has taken legal action by filing a criminal indictment against former President Raúl Castro. In response, President Miguel Díaz-Canel and the Cuban administration have rejected demands for a change in leadership and warned that any military aggression would have serious consequences.

除了經濟壓力外，美國已暗示可能採取軍事行動。尼米茲號航空母艦的部署以及高層官員訪問關塔那摩灣，顯示出與先前在委內瑞拉採取的軍事策略相似。此外，美國已採取法律行動，對前總統勞爾·卡斯特羅提起刑事起訴。對此，總統米格爾·迪亞斯-卡內爾與古巴政府拒絕了更換領導層的要求，並警告任何軍事侵略都將導致嚴重後果。

Some analysts believe the timing of any military action may be affected by the upcoming World Cup. Because many international athletes and officials will be in Florida, the U.S. might avoid immediate conflict. Additionally, there are reports that Cuba has acquired drones from Russia and Iran. While the U.S. continues to view Cuba as a security threat, ongoing diplomatic talks suggest that the U.S. is balancing pressure with the possibility of a negotiated agreement.

部分分析人士認為，任何軍事行動的時機可能會受到即將到來的世界盃影響。由於許多國際運動員和官員將聚集在佛羅里達州，美國可能會避免立即衝突。此外，有報告指出古巴已從俄羅斯和伊朗獲取無人機。雖然美國仍將古巴視為安全威脅，但持續進行的外交談判表明，美國正在壓力與達成協商協議的可能性之間取得平衡。

The situation remains unstable, as Cuba faces severe energy shortages while the United States continues to apply maximum pressure through sanctions and military signals.

局勢依然不穩定，因為古巴面臨嚴重的能源短缺，而美國則繼續透過制裁與軍事訊號施加最大壓力。