Weather agencies have confirmed that an El Niño climate pattern has started in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Current forecasts suggest there is a high probability that this event will become one of the most intense in history by late 2026.

氣象機構已確認赤道太平洋地區開始出現聖嬰現象。目前的預測顯示，這次事件極有可能在 2026 年底前成為歷史上最強烈的事件之一。

This phenomenon occurs when sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean become unusually warm. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is a 63% chance that this event will be among the most significant since 1950, potentially matching the severe episode of 1997. This happens because trade winds weaken, allowing warm water to move eastward, which consequently changes global weather and ocean circulation patterns.

這種現象發生於太平洋中部和東部的海面溫度變得異常溫暖時。根據美國國家海洋暨大氣管理局 (NOAA) 的數據，這次事件有 63% 的機會成為 1950 年以來最顯著的事件之一，甚至可能與 1997 年的嚴重程度相當。這是因為信風減弱，使得暖水向東移動，進而改變了全球的天氣和海洋環流模式。

Experts emphasize that the effects will vary by region. In the United States, this pattern usually brings more rain to the South and warmer, drier weather to the Pacific Northwest. While some farmers, especially those growing soybeans, might see benefits, economists warn that rising temperatures could slow down national economic growth. Furthermore, the event is expected to cause extreme weather globally, such as floods in western South America and intense heat waves in India and Australia, although the Middle East might see less severe droughts.

專家強調，不同地區的影響將有所差異。在美國，這種模式通常會為南方帶來更多降雨，而太平洋西北地區則會出現更溫暖、更乾燥的天氣。雖然部分農民，尤其是種植大豆的農民，可能會獲益，但經濟學家警告，氣溫上升可能會減緩國家經濟增長。此外，預計這次事件將在全球引起極端天氣，例如南美洲西部發生洪水，印度和澳洲出現強烈熱浪，儘管中東地區的乾旱可能較不嚴重。

Another major concern is the increase in marine heat waves, which are periods of extreme ocean warming. These events can happen at the surface or the seafloor and often last a long time. Such temperature spikes threaten marine life and commercial fishing; for example, previous heat waves caused a massive drop in Pacific cod and snow crab populations. Forecasts indicate that damaging heat could affect nearly 50% of the global ocean by the end of 2026, with high risks for the coasts of California, Mexico, and the Indian and Southern Oceans.

另一個主要擔憂是海洋熱浪的增加，即海水溫度極端升高的時期。這些事件可能發生在海面或海床，且通常持續時間較長。這種溫度飆升威脅著海洋生物和商業捕魚；例如，之前的熱浪導致太平洋鱈魚和雪蟹數量大幅下降。預測顯示，到 2026 年底，具破壞性的熱浪可能會影響全球近 50% 的海洋，加州、墨西哥海岸以及印度洋和南極海的風險較高。

The global climate is moving into a powerful El Niño phase. Therefore, governments and organizations must prepare for widespread weather and ecological disruptions through 2027.

全球氣候正進入一個強大的聖嬰現象階段。因此，各國政府和組織必須為 2027 年前大規模的天氣與生態混亂做好準備。