Recent polls and political events show a major shift in voter preference toward One Nation. This trend is creating instability for both the Labor government and the Coalition.

最近的民調和政治事件顯示，選民對一國黨的偏好有重大轉向。這一趨勢為工黨政府和聯合黨都帶來了不穩定性。

The current political situation shows a clear drop in support for traditional parties. According to data from the Resolve Political Monitor, One Nation has reached 24 percent support in Victoria, while Labor and the Coalition have both fallen to 26 percent. Nationally, 33 percent of people prefer Pauline Hanson as Prime Minister, which is higher than Anthony Albanese (29 percent) and Angus Taylor (16 percent). Many observers emphasize that this shift is caused by wealth inequality and a general disappointment with the two main political parties.

目前的政治局勢顯示，傳統政黨的支持率明顯下降。根據 Resolve Political Monitor 的數據，一國黨在維多利亞州的支持率已達到 24%，而工黨與聯合黨均下降至 26%。在全國範圍內，33% 的民眾傾向由 Pauline Hanson 擔任總理，高於 Anthony Albanese (29%) 與 Angus Taylor (16%)。許多觀察家強調，這種轉向是由財富不平等以及對兩大政黨的普遍失望所引起的。

Meanwhile, the Liberal Party is facing internal instability. The resignation of Senator Jonno Duniam has caused a competitive process to choose a new representative in Tasmania. Furthermore, the party is struggling to decide its future direction; they are debating whether to become more conservative or stay centrist to stop One Nation from gaining more votes. Consequently, the Coalition's primary vote has hit a record low of 20 percent, leading to discussions about possible agreements with One Nation.

與此同時，自由黨面臨內部不穩定。參議員 Jonno Duniam 的辭職導致塔斯馬尼亞州必須進行競爭程序以選出新代表。此外，該黨正努力決定未來的方向；他們正在討論是要變得更加保守，還是維持中道以阻止一國黨獲取更多選票。因此，聯合黨的初次投票率跌至 20% 的歷史新低，導致內部開始討論與一國黨達成協議的可能性。

In Victoria, Premier Jacinta Allan's Labor government is facing serious challenges. Polling suggests that many people feel the administration does not deserve another term, including 31 percent of its own supporters. This vulnerability is worsened by leadership tensions and a disconnect over environmental and animal welfare policies. As a result, political strategists are worried about the possibility of a hung parliament in the November state election, which could lead to a partnership between the Coalition and One Nation.

在維多利亞州，州長 Jacinta Allan 領導的工黨政府面臨嚴重挑戰。民調顯示，許多人認為該行政部門不配再任一屆，其中包含 31% 的自有支持者。領導層的緊張關係以及在環境與動物福利政策上的脫節，加劇了這種脆弱性。因此，政治策略師擔心 11 月的州選舉可能會出現懸盤國會，這可能導致聯合黨與一國黨達成合作夥伴關係。

Australia is currently experiencing a period of high political volatility, characterized by the rise of populist views and the decline of the traditional dominant parties.

澳洲目前正經歷一個政治劇烈波動的時期，其特徵是民粹主義觀點的崛起與傳統主導政黨的衰落。