The Canadian federal government and the provinces of Alberta and British Columbia have reached an agreement concerning the proposed development of a new oil pipeline to the Pacific coast.

加拿大聯邦政府與亞伯達省及英屬哥倫比亞省已就擬建一條通往太平洋沿岸的新石油管道達成協議。

The initiative originates from a memorandum of understanding established between Ottawa and Alberta in the previous autumn, which sought the creation of a bitumen pipeline to facilitate the diversification of energy exports toward Asian markets. Premier Danielle Smith intends to propose a facility with a capacity of one million barrels per day, though specific components of the bilateral agreement focus on an additional 300,000 to 400,000 barrels per day. The Alberta government seeks a 'project of national interest' designation by October, with projected construction commencing in September 2027 and operational startup occurring in the mid-2030s. This infrastructure development is functionally linked to the progress of a carbon capture network involving the five primary oilsands producers; however, external analysis suggests that industrial carbon pricing and the capital requirements of the Pathways project may impede the willingness of these entities to act as shippers.

此倡議源於渥太華與亞伯達省在去年秋天簽署的一份諒解備忘錄，旨在建立一條瀝青管道以促進能源出口向亞洲市場多元化。省長 Danielle Smith 擬建議建設一個日產能一百萬桶的設施，儘管雙邊協議的特定部分聚焦於額外的每日 30 萬至 40 萬桶。亞伯達政府尋求在 10 月前獲得「國家利益項目」認定，預計 2027 年 9 月開始施工，並於 2030 年代中期投入運作。此基礎設施發展在功能上與涉及五家主要油砂生產商的碳捕捉網絡進展掛鉤；然而，外部分析指出，工業碳定價與 Pathways 項目的資本要求可能會阻礙這些實體作為運輸商的意願。

Inter-provincial tensions have been mitigated through a strategic rapprochement between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Premier David Eby. Central to this agreement is the absolute maintenance of the 2019 North Coast Tanker Ban, which restricts tankers carrying over 12,500 metric tonnes of crude oil. While the federal government acknowledges the pipeline's necessity to reduce price discounts on U.S. sales and attenuate separatist sentiment in Alberta—where a referendum on Canadian secession is scheduled for October—it has committed to protecting the northern coast of British Columbia. To offset environmental risks associated with a potential southern route, the federal government has pledged funding for critical infrastructure, including $3 billion for the Fraser River Tunnel Project and support for the Red Chris mine expansion and the North Coast Transmission Line.

透過總理 Mark Carney 與省長 David Eby 的戰略和解，省際緊張局勢已有所緩解。此協議的核心在於絕對維持 2019 年的北海岸油輪禁令，該禁令限制載運超過 12,500 公噸原油的油輪。雖然聯邦政府承認管道對於降低對美銷售的價格折扣以及緩解亞伯達省分離主義情緒（該省定於 10 月舉行加拿大脫離公投）具有必要性，但其已承諾保護英屬哥倫比亞省的北海岸。為了抵銷與潛在南線路線相關的環境風險，聯邦政府已承諾資助關鍵基礎設施，包括 30 億加元用於 Fraser River 隧道項目，以及支持 Red Chris 礦場擴建和北海岸輸電線。

Stakeholder positioning remains nuanced. Premier Eby has indicated that while British Columbia lacks the constitutional authority to obstruct a federally mandated pipeline, the province will not litigate against the project provided the northern tanker ban remains intact. This position has received endorsement from the Coastal First Nations – Great Bear Initiative. Conversely, the project's viability remains contingent upon the alignment of private sector interests and the resolution of environmental concerns regarding the Great Bear Rainforest.

利害關係人的立場依然微妙。省長 Eby 指出，雖然英屬哥倫比亞省缺乏阻撓聯邦強制管道的憲法權限，但只要北海岸油輪禁令保持不變，該省將不會對該項目提起訴訟。這一立場已獲得 Coastal First Nations – Great Bear Initiative 的認可。相反，該項目的可行性仍取決於私營部門利益的對齊以及大熊雨林環境問題的解決。

The federal government has secured a commitment from British Columbia to permit the pipeline's progression provided the northern tanker ban is upheld and infrastructure compensation is provided.

聯邦政府已獲得英屬哥倫比亞省的承諾，只要維持北海岸油輪禁令並提供基礎設施補償，將允許管道工程推進。