Former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel has advocated for the cessation of unconditional American assistance to Israel, suggesting a fundamental realignment of the bilateral alliance.

前芝加哥市長拉姆·埃馬紐埃爾主張停止美國對以色列無條件的援助，建議雙邊同盟應進行根本性的調整。

The discourse delivered by Mr. Emanuel at Tel Aviv University posits that the historical precedent of unconditional U.S. support has facilitated a political environment in which the Israeli administration, specifically under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, perceives a lack of political consequence for disregarding American concerns regarding settlement expansion and regional stability. This perceived lack of accountability is characterized as a systemic failure of previous U.S. policy. Consequently, Mr. Emanuel asserts that the alliance has reached a critical juncture necessitating a transition toward a conditional framework. He specifically proposes the implementation of sanctions against individuals and financial institutions involved in the expansion of settlements in the West Bank, as well as the termination of defense subsidies, suggesting that Israel procure armaments under the same fiscal terms as other strategic partners.

埃馬紐埃爾先生在特拉維夫大學的演講中認為，美國一直以來無條件支持的歷史先例，造成了一種政治環境，使得以色列政府（特別是在內塔尼亞胡總理領導下）認為即使無視美國對擴張定居點與區域穩定的關注，也不會產生政治後果。這種缺乏問責制的狀況被視為先前美國政策的系統性失敗。因此，埃馬紐埃爾先生斷言，該同盟已達到一個關鍵轉折點，必須轉向一個有條件的框架。他特別建議對參與西岸定居點擴張的個人與金融機構實施制裁，並終止國防補貼，建議以色列應與其他戰略夥伴採取相同的財政條款來採購軍備。

This shift in rhetoric coincides with a measurable decline in support for Israel within the Democratic constituency. Data from an AP-NORC poll indicates that 58% of Democrats now perceive U.S. support for Israel as excessive, with a significant proportion characterizing military operations in Gaza as genocidal. Such sentiment is further evidenced by the success of progressive candidates in several U.S. states and legislative efforts to restrict the sale of specific military equipment. While some Republican figures, such as Vice President JD Vance, have expressed frustration with Israeli diplomatic conduct, the Democratic shift appears more systemic.

這種言論的轉變，與民主黨選民對以色列支持度的明顯下降同步。AP-NORC 的民調數據顯示，58% 的民主黨人現在認為美國對以色列的支持過多，且有相當大比例的人將加薩的軍事行動描述為種族滅絕。數個美國州份進步派候選人的獲勝，以及限制銷售特定軍事設備的立法努力，進一步證明了這種情緒。雖然部分共和黨人物（如副總統 JD Vance）也對以色列的外交行為表示不滿，但民主黨的轉變似乎更具系統性。

Regarding a sustainable peace architecture, Mr. Emanuel has proposed a departure from the traditional two-state model, advocating instead for a '23-state solution.' This framework would require 21 Arab nations to assume responsibility for the establishment of a Palestinian governing authority that acknowledges the historical Jewish connection to the land. This proposal is framed as a strategic mechanism to isolate Iran and ensure regional security. However, critics, including James Zogby, suggest that this approach remains rooted in pro-Israel perspectives and avoids the deeper contextual complexities of the conflict, potentially serving as a political maneuver to balance the interests of a shifting Democratic electorate with those of established institutional donors.

關於可持續的和平架構，埃馬紐埃爾先生提出要捨棄傳統的「兩國方案」，轉而倡導「23國方案」。該框架將要求 21 個阿拉伯國家承擔責任，建立一個承認猶太人與該土地有歷史聯繫的巴勒斯坦管理當局。此建議被定位為一個隔離伊朗並確保區域安全的戰略機制。然而，包括詹姆斯·佐格比在內的批評者認為，這種做法依然根植於親以色列的視角，避開了衝突中更深層的背景複雜性，可能僅是為了平衡不斷變化的民主黨選民與既有體制捐款人之間利益的政治手段。

The current situation is characterized by a growing divergence between traditional U.S. foreign policy and the evolving political sentiments within both major American parties, signaling a potential transition toward conditional diplomacy.

目前的狀況在於傳統美國外交政策與美國兩大政黨內部演變中的政治情緒之間，出現了日益嚴重的分歧，預示著外交政策可能會向有條件外交轉型。