The National Hurricane Center is preparing to initiate its monitoring protocols for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with daily outlooks commencing on May 15.

國家颶風中心正準備啟動 2026 年大西洋颶風季節的監測協定，每日展望將於 5 月 15 日開始。

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will implement a six-hourly reporting cycle from May 15 through November 30, a period that encompasses 97% of tropical cyclone activity. These deliverables include a seven-day graphical outlook—now incorporating a gray marker to denote negligible development probability—a two-day satellite-based analysis, and a technical discussion utilized primarily for aviation and maritime navigation. The Atlantic basin, which includes the Caribbean Sea and the region designated as the Gulf of America, is monitored for 'disturbances' (organized storm clusters lacking defined circulation) and 'tropical waves,' the latter of which are estimated to contribute to approximately 80% of major hurricanes.

國家颶風中心 (NHC) 將在 5 月 15 日至 11 月 30 日期間實施每六小時一次的報告週期，此期間涵蓋了 97% 的熱帶氣旋活動。這些交付成果包括七日圖形展望（現加入灰色標記以表示發展機率極低）、兩日衛星分析，以及主要用於航空與航海導航的技術討論。大西洋盆地（包括加勒比海與被指定為美國灣的區域）將監測「擾動」（缺乏明確環流的組織化風暴群）與「熱帶波」，後者估計約對 80% 的大型颶風有貢獻。

Quantitative projections for the 2026 season vary by institution. AccuWeather anticipates 11-16 named storms and 4-7 hurricanes, while Colorado State University projects 13 named storms and 6 hurricanes. WeatherTiger suggests a range of 10-15 named storms and 4-7 hurricanes. These figures are compared against the 30-year mean (1991-2020) of 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher).

各機構對 2026 年季節的量化預測有所不同。AccuWeather 預計將有 11-16 個命名風暴和 4-7 個颶風，而科羅拉多州立大學則預測有 13 個命名風暴和 6 個颶風。WeatherTiger 建議的範圍為 10-15 個命名風暴和 4-7 個颶風。這些數據與 30 年平均值 (1991-2020) 進行比較，平均為 14 個命名風暴、7 個颶風和 3 個大型颶風（3 級或以上）。

Immediate atmospheric conditions suggest a period of quiescence. The presence of Saharan dust along the African coast, which introduces stable, dry air into the mid-levels of the atmosphere, combined with insufficient sea surface temperatures, is expected to inhibit convection and preclude significant development through late May and early June. Conversely, the Pacific season, beginning May 15, may exhibit early activity south of Mexico due to warmer waters, although such systems are projected to dissipate before approaching Hawaii.

目前的環境條件顯示為一段平靜期。非洲海岸沿線的撒哈拉塵埃將穩定乾空氣引入大氣中層，結合不足的海面溫度，預計將抑制對流，並在 5 月底至 6 月初之前排除重大發展。相反，自 5 月 15 日開始的太平洋季節，由於水溫較暖，墨西哥南部可能會出現早期活動，儘管此類系統預計在接近夏威夷之前會消散。

While the Atlantic basin remains stable due to thermal and atmospheric inhibitors, the NHC will begin formal surveillance on May 15 ahead of the June 1 official season start.

雖然大西洋盆地由於熱能與大氣抑制因素而保持穩定，但 NHC 仍將在 6 月 1 日正式季節開始前的 5 月 15 日開始正式監測。