Recent reports indicate that Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have conducted direct military strikes against Iranian territory, signaling a departure from traditional reliance on United States security guarantees.

近期報告指出，沙烏地阿拉伯與阿拉伯聯合大公國已對伊朗領土採取直接軍事打擊，顯示其正脫離傳統上對美國安全保障的依賴。

The current regional instability commenced following joint United States and Israeli airstrikes on Iran on February 28. In the subsequent period, Iran targeted all six Gulf Cooperation Council states, impacting civilian infrastructure, oil facilities, and the Strait of Hormuz. This environment prompted a shift in the strategic calculus of Gulf monarchies. The Royal Saudi Air Force reportedly executed numerous unpublicized strikes on Iranian soil in late March as a retaliatory measure. Concurrently, the United Arab Emirates conducted covert operations, including a strike on a refinery on Lavan Island in early April. While both nations acted, their diplomatic methodologies diverged; the UAE adopted a hawkish posture with minimal engagement, whereas Saudi Arabia maintained communication channels with Tehran to facilitate a managed de-escalation.

目前的區域不穩定始於 2 月 28 日美國與以色列對伊朗的聯合空襲。隨後，伊朗將目標對準所有六個海灣合作委員會國家，影響了民用基礎設施、石油設施以及霍爾木茲海峽。此環境促使海灣君主國的戰略考量發生轉變。據報導，沙烏地阿拉伯皇家空軍在 3 月下旬採取報復措施，在伊朗領土執行了多次未公開的打擊。與此同時，阿拉伯聯合大公國在 4 月初進行了秘密行動，包括打擊位於拉萬島的一座煉油廠。雖然兩國均採取行動，但外交手段有所分歧；阿聯酋採取強硬姿態且極少接觸，而沙烏地阿拉伯則與德黑蘭維持溝通管道，以促進有管理的局勢降溫。

Beyond direct strikes on Iran, the conflict expanded into Iraq. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reportedly targeted Iran-linked militia positions within Iraqi territory to neutralize launch sites for drones and missiles. This military activity underscores a long-standing suspicion regarding Baghdad's inability to constrain Tehran-backed proxies. Furthermore, tensions escalated on May 1 when Kuwaiti authorities detained four individuals on Bubiyan Island. The Kuwaiti Interior Ministry asserted that the detainees confessed to being members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) tasked with hostile actions. Conversely, the Iranian Foreign Ministry characterized the incident as a navigational error during a routine patrol and dismissed the allegations as baseless propaganda.

除了直接打擊伊朗外，衝突還擴展至伊拉克。據報導，沙烏地阿拉伯與科威特針對伊拉克境內與伊朗相關的民兵陣地，以摧毀無人機與飛彈的發射點。此軍事活動突顯了長期以來對於巴格達無法約束德黑蘭支持之代理人的懷疑。此外，5 月 1 日科威特當局在布比揚島拘留四人，導致緊張局勢升級。科威特內政部聲稱，被拘留者承認是伊斯蘭革命衛隊 (IRGC) 成員，受命執行敵對行動。相反地，伊朗外交部將此事件定調為例行巡邏期間的導航錯誤，並指稱相關指控為毫無根據的宣傳。

Institutional implications suggest a growing perception among Gulf states that the U.S. security umbrella is insufficient. This is evidenced by the reported Saudi refusal to provide logistical support for the U.S. 'Project Freedom' maritime escorts. Despite these frictions, a pragmatic rapprochement occurred between Riyadh and Tehran, resulting in an informal de-escalation agreement prior to the April 7 U.S.-Iran ceasefire. This agreement coincided with a quantitative reduction in projectiles targeting Saudi Arabia, although Western assessments indicate that subsequent attacks originated from Iraqi soil rather than directly from Iran.

制度上的影響顯示，海灣國家越來越認為美國的安全傘不足。沙烏地阿拉伯據報拒絕為美國的「自由計畫」海上護航提供後勤支持，即證明了這一點。儘管存在這些摩擦，利雅德與德黑蘭之間仍進行了務實的和解，導致在 4 月 7 日美伊停火前達成了一項非正式的降溫協議。此協議與針對沙烏地阿拉伯的投射物數量減少同步發生，儘管西方評估指出，隨後的攻擊源自伊拉克領土而非直接來自伊朗。

The regional security architecture is currently characterized by a precarious balance of direct military retaliation and tentative diplomatic understandings, with Gulf states increasingly exercising autonomous military agency.

目前的區域安全架構特徵在於直接軍事報復與初步外交諒解之間處於一種危險的平衡，而海灣國家則日益行使自主的軍事能動性。