Samsung Electronics faces a potential 18-day strike by its primary labor union following the failure of government-mediated negotiations.

由於政府調停的協商失敗，三星電子面臨主要工會可能發起的 18 天大罷工。

The current impasse originates from the union's demand for the institutionalization of a performance bonus equivalent to 15 percent of operating profit, alongside the removal of existing bonus ceilings. This dispute has escalated following the termination of talks mediated by the National Labor Relations Commission without a resolution. The proposed walkout, scheduled from May 21 to June 7, is expected to involve approximately 50,000 employees.

目前的僵局源於工會要求將績效獎金制度化，金額需相當於營業利潤的 15%，並要求取消現有的獎金上限。在國家勞工關係委員會調停的對話未獲解決而終止後，該爭議隨即升級。預計從 5 月 21 日至 6 月 7 日舉行的罷工，將涉及約 5 萬名員工。

Given Samsung's systemic importance as a primary memory chip manufacturer and its role in the global artificial intelligence supply chain, the potential for production disruptions is significant. Academic projections suggest that operational cessation could result in losses ranging from tens of millions of dollars per minute to 1 trillion won daily, with total direct damages estimated between 20 trillion and 30 trillion won. JPMorgan has similarly indicated that prolonged industrial action could adversely affect annual operating profits.

鑑於三星作為主要記憶體晶片製造商的系統重要性及其在全球人工智慧供應鏈中的角色，生產中斷的可能性極高。學術預測顯示，停止運作可能導致每分鐘數千萬美元至每日 1 兆韓元的損失，總直接損失估計在 20 兆至 30 兆韓元之間。摩根大通同樣指出，長期工業行動可能會對年度營業利潤產生不利影響。

Consequently, the South Korean government is evaluating the invocation of emergency arbitration, a rare legal mechanism that prohibits strikes for 30 days to protect the national economy. This measure has been utilized only four times since 1969. Legal opinions remain bifurcated: some scholars argue that the scale of the economic risk necessitates this intervention, while others contend that the strike's current legality renders such a measure inappropriate. Concurrently, the Suwon District Court is reviewing a request by Samsung for an injunction against the union's planned activities, with a ruling expected by May 20. The Korea Shareholder Movement Headquarters has petitioned the court to grant this injunction to prevent irreversible economic damage.

因此，韓國政府正在評估是否啟動緊急仲裁，這是一種罕見的法律機制，可禁止罷工 30 天以保護國家經濟。自 1969 年以來，此措施僅被使用過四次。法律意見分歧：部分學者認為經濟風險的規模使此干預成為必要，而另一些人則認為，由於目前罷工具有合法性，採取此類措施並不恰當。與此同時，水原地方法院正在審理三星申請禁止工會計劃活動的禁制令，預計將於 5 月 20 日做出裁決。韓國股東運動總部已請願法院批准此禁制令，以防止不可逆轉的經濟損失。

The situation remains unresolved pending a judicial decision on the injunction and potential government intervention via emergency arbitration.

在法院對禁制令做出裁決以及政府可能透過緊急仲裁干預之前，情況仍未解決。