The Alberta government and the federal administration have established a preliminary framework for the construction of a new oil pipeline to the West Coast, though the project faces significant regulatory and jurisdictional challenges.

艾伯塔省政府與聯邦政府已為在西岸建設新石油管道建立了初步框架，儘管該項目面臨顯著的監管與管轄權挑戰。

The current strategic trajectory was initiated following a rapprochement between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, who signed an implementation agreement to advance a pipeline proposal. This agreement follows the resolution of a carbon pricing dispute, with both parties agreeing to a gradual increase to $130 per tonne by 2040. The Alberta government, acting as the primary proponent due to a lack of private-sector risk assumption, intends to submit a formal proposal by July 1, seeking a 'national interest' designation by October 1 to facilitate an expedited approval process. The objective is to transport one million barrels of crude daily, primarily targeting Asian markets via a preferred northern port.

目前的戰略方向是在總理 Mark Carney 與艾伯塔省省長 Danielle Smith 關係緩和後啟動的，兩人簽署了一項實施協議以推進管道提案。此協議是在解決碳定價爭議後達成的，雙方同意到 2040 年將每噸價格逐步調升至 130 美元。由於缺乏私營部門承擔風險，艾伯塔省政府作為主要提案方，擬於 7 月 1 日前提交正式提案，並尋求在 10 月 1 日前獲得「國家利益」認定，以利於加速審批程序。目標是每日運輸 100 萬桶原油，主要透過一個較理想的北港對準亞洲市場。

However, the project's viability is contingent upon several interdependent variables. A memorandum of understanding stipulates that the funding of the Pathways carbon capture project—involving a consortium represented by the Oil Sands Alliance—is a prerequisite for the pipeline's progression. Furthermore, the project encounters substantial opposition from British Columbia. Premier David Eby has characterized the federal support for Alberta's infrastructure as disproportionate, asserting that the administration has neglected B.C.'s own $88 billion project portfolio. This jurisdictional friction is compounded by the steadfast opposition of coastal First Nations and environmental organizations regarding the potential repeal of the northern B.C. coast tanker ban.

然而，該項目的可行性取決於幾個相互依存的變數。一份諒解備忘錄規定，Pathways 碳捕捉項目（由油砂聯盟代表的財團參與）的資金到位是管道工程推進的前提。此外，該項目遭到卑詩省的強烈反對。省長 David Eby 指出聯邦政府對艾伯塔省基礎設施的支持並不對等，主張政府忽略了卑詩省自身 880 億美元的項目組合。由於沿海原住民與環保組織堅決反對可能撤銷卑詩省北部海岸的油輪禁令，使得這種管轄權摩擦進一步加劇。

Economic projections suggest significant macroeconomic implications should these hurdles be overcome. ATB Financial estimates that the combined realization of the Pathways project and expanded pipeline capacity could increase Canada's real GDP by an average of 1.1 per cent and Alberta's real GDP by 5.1 per cent between 2027 and 2035. Conversely, CIBC World Markets analysts have characterized the government's timeline—which envisions construction commencing in September 2027 and operational flow by 2033—as an optimistic best-case scenario.

經濟預測顯示，若能克服這些障礙，將產生顯著的宏觀經濟影響。ATB Financial 估計，若 Pathways 項目與擴大管道容量同步實現，2027 年至 2035 年間，加拿大的實際 GDP 平均可增加 1.1%，艾伯塔省的實際 GDP 則可增加 5.1%。相反地，CIBC World Markets 的分析師認為政府的時間表（預計 2027 年 9 月開工並於 2033 年投入運行）僅是一個過於樂觀的最佳情境。

While a formal agreement exists between Alberta and the federal government, the project remains stalled by unresolved funding for carbon capture and intense opposition from British Columbia and Indigenous stakeholders.

儘管艾伯塔省與聯邦政府之間存在正式協議，但由於碳捕捉資金尚未解決，以及卑詩省與原住民利益相關者的強烈反對，該項目仍處於停滯狀態。