The United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has reported a decade-low decline in global forced displacement, though absolute figures remain substantial.

聯合國難民署（UNHCR）報告指出，全球強迫流離失所人數跌至十年來最低水平，但絕對數字依然相當顯著。

The total population of forcibly displaced persons concluded 2025 at 117.8 million, representing a decrease of 5.4 million from the preceding year. This statistical contraction is primarily attributed to a significant increase in returns, with 14.7 million individuals returning to their origins—the second-highest volume recorded in six decades. However, the UNHCR notes that 90% of refugee returns were concentrated in Syria, Afghanistan, and Sudan, and characterizes many of these movements as being driven by external pressure rather than voluntary choice, potentially precipitating subsequent displacement cycles due to persistent instability and infrastructure deficits.

強迫流離失所總人數在2025年底為1.178億人，較前一年減少540萬人。此次統計數據下降主要歸因於回流人數顯著增加，共有1,470萬人返回原籍地，為六十年來紀錄中的第二高數值。然而，聯合國難民署指出，90%的難民回流集中在敘利亞、阿富汗與蘇丹，並將許多此類移動描述為受外部壓力驅動而非自願選擇，可能因持續的不穩定與基礎設施缺乏而導致隨後的流離失所循環。

Demographic concentration remains acute, with 72% of refugees originating from seven nations, including Venezuela, Palestine, and Ukraine. Conversely, hosting responsibilities are largely borne by low- to middle-income states, with Colombia, Germany, and Türkiye maintaining the largest refugee populations. The institutional framework for protection is currently strained; while 2.9 million refugees require resettlement, available placements plummeted from 188,800 in 2024 to 81,800 in 2025, a trend the agency attributes in part to reduced admissions by the United States.

人口集中現象依然嚴峻，72%的難民來自委內瑞拉、巴勒斯坦與烏克蘭等七個國家。相反地，接收責任主要由低至中等收入國家承擔，哥倫比亞、德國與土耳其維持著最大規模的難民人口。目前的保護機制承受沉重壓力；儘管有290萬名難民需要重新安置，但可用名額從2024年的188,800個驟降至2025年的81,800個，該機構將此趨勢部分歸因於美國減少了接收人數。

Recent geopolitical developments have introduced new volatility. The commencement of the US-Israel conflict against Iran in early 2026 has resulted in the internal displacement of 3.2 million persons within Iran and over one million in Lebanon. These events underscore the precarious nature of current trends, as the UNHCR observes that 70% of refugees now exist in protracted displacement scenarios lasting five years or more.

近期的地緣政治發展引入了新的不穩定性。2026年初美國與以色列對伊朗發起衝突，導致伊朗境內320萬人流離失所，黎巴嫩則有超過一百萬人流離失所。這些事件凸顯了當前趨勢的脆弱性，聯合國難民署觀察到，目前70%的難民處於持續五年或以上的長期流離失所情境中。

While global displacement figures have marginally declined, emerging conflicts in the Middle East and a reduction in international resettlement capacity maintain a high level of global instability.

雖然全球流離失所人數略有下降，但中東新爆發的衝突以及國際重新安置能力的減少，使全球不穩定程度維持在高水平。