New polls show changes in the elections in Tennessee and Ohio.

最新民調顯示田納西州與俄亥俄州的選舉有所變動。

In Tennessee, Marsha Blackburn is still the leader. But John Rose is getting more votes. Some people want a new leader. Blackburn says these polls are wrong.

在田納西州，Marsha Blackburn 仍處於領先地位。但 John Rose 獲得的票數正在增加。有些人希望有新的領導者。Blackburn 稱這些民調是錯誤的。

In Ohio, the race for governor is a tie. Amy Acton and Vivek Ramaswamy both have 47%. Women and young people like Acton. Conservative people like Ramaswamy.

在俄亥俄州，州長之爭陷入平手。Amy Acton 與 Vivek Ramaswamy 的支持率皆為 47%。女性與年輕人較支持 Acton。保守派則較支持 Ramaswamy。

In the Ohio Senate race, Jon Husted has 50%. Sherrod Brown has 47%. Many people in Ohio are sad about money and the economy.

在俄亥俄州的參議院選舉中，Jon Husted 獲得 50%。Sherrod Brown 獲得 47%。許多俄亥俄州的人對金錢與經濟狀況感到失望。

The races in Tennessee and Ohio are now very close.

田納西州與俄亥俄州的選舉目前非常接近。

Recent polling data shows that candidate leads are shifting in the Tennessee Republican primary, while the races for governor and senate in Ohio remain almost equal.

最近的民調數據顯示，田納西州共和黨初選的領先者正在變動，而俄亥俄州的州長與參議員選舉則幾乎持平。

In Tennessee, new data shared by U.S. Rep. John Rose suggests that U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's lead in the GOP gubernatorial primary is shrinking. Although Blackburn still leads with 44% support, the gap between her and Rose (29%) has dropped significantly since January 2025. Furthermore, among voters who know both candidates, Rose actually leads with 39% compared to Blackburn's 35%. The Rose campaign emphasizes that voters want new leadership, noting that 53% of polled voters believe it is time for a change. However, the Blackburn campaign has dismissed these results as unreliable, pointing to other data that shows she remains popular across eleven counties.

在田納西州，美國眾議員 John Rose 分享的新數據顯示，美國參議員 Marsha Blackburn 在共和黨州長初選的領先優勢正在縮小。雖然 Blackburn 仍然以 44% 的支持率領先，但她與 Rose (29%) 之間的差距自 2025 年 1 月起已大幅下降。此外，在認識兩位候選人的選民中，Rose 實際上以 39% 領先於 Blackburn 的 35%。Rose 競選團隊強調選民渴望新領導層，並指出 53% 的受訪選民認為是時候做出改變。然而，Blackburn 競選團隊則認為這些結果不可靠，並指出其他數據顯示她在 11 個郡中依然深獲支持。

Meanwhile, the political situation in Ohio is very balanced. A survey by the New York Times and Siena College shows a statistical tie in the governor's race, with Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy both holding 47% support. Acton is more popular among women and college graduates, whereas Ramaswamy is favored by conservative voters. In the U.S. Senate race, Republican Jon Husted has a small lead of 50% over Democrat Sherrod Brown's 47%. Brown remains competitive because he is seen as a moderate. These races are happening while many voters are unhappy with the economy; 62% of Ohioans describe the state's economic condition as 'fair' or 'poor.'

同時，俄亥俄州的政治局勢非常均衡。《紐約時報》與西耶納學院 (Siena College) 的一項調查顯示，州長競選呈現統計學上的平手，民主黨人 Amy Acton 與共和黨人 Vivek Ramaswamy 的支持率均為 47%。Acton 在女性與大學畢業生中更受歡迎，而 Ramaswamy 則深受保守派選民青睞。在美國參議員競選方面，共和黨人 Jon Husted 以 50% 微幅領先民主黨人 Sherrod Brown 的 47%。Brown 保持競爭力是因為他被視為溫和派。這些選舉正值許多選民對經濟不滿之際；62% 的俄亥俄州人將該州的經濟狀況描述為「尚可」或「糟糕」。

The current data shows a closing gap in the Tennessee primary and a state of balance in Ohio's main political contests.

目前的數據顯示，田納西州初選的差距正在縮小，而俄亥俄州的主要政治競選則處於平衡狀態。

Recent polling data indicates shifting candidate viability in the Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary and a statistical deadlock in Ohio's executive and legislative races.

最近的民調數據顯示，田納西州共和黨州長初選候選人的勝選機會出現變動，而俄亥俄州的行政與立法選舉則處於統計學上的僵局。

In Tennessee, internal data disseminated by U.S. Rep. John Rose suggests a contraction of U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's lead in the GOP gubernatorial primary. While Blackburn maintains a plurality with 44% support, the margin over Rose (29%) has diminished from 58 points in January 2025 to 15 points as of June 30. Notably, among respondents possessing familiarity with both candidates, Rose leads with 39% against Blackburn's 35%. This trend is attributed by the Rose campaign to a perceived desire for new leadership, citing a 53% agreement among polled voters that Blackburn's tenure as a politician necessitates a succession. Conversely, the Blackburn campaign and affiliated political action committees have dismissed these findings as a 'push poll,' referencing separate data from Tennesseans for Student Success Action that indicates favorable approval ratings for Blackburn across eleven counties.

在田納西州，由美國眾議院議員 John Rose 發布的內部數據顯示，美國參議員 Marsha Blackburn 在共和黨州長初選中的領先優勢正在縮減。雖然 Blackburn 仍以 44% 的支持率領先，但她領先 Rose (29%) 的幅度已從 2025 年 1 月的 58 個百分點，縮減至 6 月 30 日的 15 個百分點。值得注意的是，在對兩位候選人都熟悉的受訪者中，Rose 以 39% 領先於 Blackburn 的 35%。Rose 的競選團隊將此趨勢歸因於選民對新領導層的渴望，並引用民調指出，有 53% 的選民同意 Blackburn 作為政治家的任期已到了需要接替的時候。相反，Blackburn 的競選團隊及相關的政治行動委員會則將這些發現視為「誘導性民調」，並引用來自 Tennesseans for Student Success Action 的另一份數據，指出 Blackburn 在 11 個郡的支持率依然理想。

Simultaneously, the Ohio political landscape exhibits significant parity. A New York Times/Siena College survey reveals a statistical tie in the gubernatorial race between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy, both holding 47% support. Acton's strength is concentrated among women, college graduates, and younger demographics, whereas Ramaswamy maintains favorability among conservative cohorts. In the U.S. Senate race, Republican Jon Husted holds a narrow lead of 50% over Democrat Sherrod Brown's 47%. Brown's competitiveness is attributed to a perceived moderate positioning relative to the national Democratic platform. These contests occur against a backdrop of economic dissatisfaction, with 62% of Ohio respondents characterizing the state's economic condition as 'fair' or 'poor,' and 52% asserting that the national trajectory is incorrect.

與此同時，俄亥俄州的政治局勢呈現出顯著的對等狀態。《紐約時報》與錫拉丘斯大學（Siena College）的一項調查顯示，在州長選舉中，民主黨人 Amy Acton 與共和黨人 Vivek Ramaswamy 均獲得 47% 的支持，處於統計學上的平手。Acton 的優勢集中在女性、大學畢業生與年輕族群，而 Ramaswamy 則在保守派群體中保持高支持度。在美國參議員選舉方面，共和黨人 Jon Husted 以 50% 微幅領先民主黨人 Sherrod Brown 的 47%。Brown 的競爭力被歸因於他相對於全國民主黨平台，被視為採取了較溫和的定位。這些競選是在經濟不滿的背景下進行的，62% 的俄亥俄州受訪者將州內經濟狀況描述為「普通」或「糟糕」，而 52% 的人認為國家發展方向是錯誤的。

Current data reflects a narrowing gap in the Tennessee primary and a state of equilibrium in Ohio's primary executive and legislative contests.

目前的數據反映出田納西州初選的差距正在縮小，而俄亥俄州的主要行政與立法競選則處於均衡狀態。